St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche 54% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Avalanche:
- Home Field Advantage. Avalanche are 3-0 at home this season; Blues are 1-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Rest Days. Avalanche rest advantage (2 days rest) over Blues (1 day rest)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Avalanche defeated the Blues 6-1.
Our model predicted the Avalanche would win with 54% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Blues and was a notable factor: Blues less affected by injuries: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Avalanche 4 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Avalanche players ...
- Home Field Advantage favored the Avalanche and was a notable factor: Avalanche are 3-0 at home this season; Blues are 1-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Rest Days favored the Avalanche and was a contributing factor: Avalanche rest advantage (2 days rest) over Blues (1 day rest)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Avalanche have 4 player(s) ruled out, while the Blues have 4.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Avalanche won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors St. Louis Blues
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Colorado Avalanche
- Rest DaysFavors Colorado Avalanche
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Avalanche
Blues
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Injury Report
Avalanche
Blues
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Avalanche has a 54% win probability, while Blues has a 46% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Ball Arena in Denver, CO.