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St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks

NHLregular • 2027-2028 Season
Scheduled
Blackhawks logo
Blackhawks
Chicago
0
vs
Blues logo
Blues
St. Louis
0
CHI 55%45% STL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Chicago Blackhawks 55% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Blackhawks:

  • Home Field Advantage. Blackhawks are 2-0 at home this season; Blues are 1-3 on the road
  • Injuries. Blackhawks healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Blues 4 out, 0 doubtful

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VenueUnited Center
Chicago, IL

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Blues (away)
Blackhawks (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
1
4
Players ruled out
1

Game Preview

Blues at Blackhawks

The Blues visit the Blackhawks at United Center in Chicago, IL in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.

Our model gives the Blackhawks a 55% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. The Blues will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Home Field Advantage favors the Blackhawks (high): Blackhawks are 2-0 at home this season; Blues are 1-3 on the road
  • Recent Form favors the Blues (medium): Blues (1-1) in better form than Blackhawks (0-3)
  • Injuries favors the Blackhawks (low): Blackhawks healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Blues 4 out, 0 doubtful
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Blackhawks have 1 player(s) ruled out, while the Blues have 4.
Blackhawks55%

is favored to win

Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors CHI

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Chicago Blackhawks
  • Recent FormFavors St. Louis Blues
  • InjuriesFavors Chicago Blackhawks
  • ELO RatingFavors St. Louis Blues
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

STL
CHI
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
Injuries
ELO Rating
Rest Days
Favours STL|Favours CHI

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Blackhawks

Our Model55%

Blues

Our Model45%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Home Field Advantage

Blackhawks are 2-0 at home this season; Blues are 1-3 on the road

Blackhawks
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/4/2026, 8:50:01 AM

Blackhawks

Connor BedardC(Shoulder)
OUT
Bowen ByramD(Personal)
QUESTIONABLE
Andrew MangiapaneLW(Lower Body)
QUESTIONABLE

Blues

Logan MaillouxD(Hand)
OUT
Tyler TuckerD(Knee)
OUT
Felix TrudeauLW(Undisclosed)
OUT
Alexey ToropchenkoRW(Upper Body)
OUT

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Blackhawks has a 55% win probability, while Blues has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at United Center in Chicago, IL.

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