St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks
Chicago Blackhawks 58% to win. The biggest signal favoring Blackhawks:
- Home Field Advantage. Blackhawks are 1-0 at home this season; Blues are 0-1 on the road
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Blackhawks defeated the Blues 3-2.
Our model predicted the Blackhawks would win with 58% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Blackhawks and was a major factor: Blackhawks are 1-0 at home this season; Blues are 0-1 on the road
- ELO Rating favored the Blues and was a contributing factor: Blackhawks ELO 1450 vs Blues ELO 1520 (diff: -70)
- Injuries favored the Blues and was a contributing factor: Blues healthier (1 out, 0 doubtful) vs Blackhawks (1 out, 0 doubtful)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Blackhawks have 1 player(s) ruled out, while the Blues have 1.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Blackhawks won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Chicago Blackhawks
- ELO RatingFavors St. Louis Blues
- InjuriesFavors St. Louis Blues
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
Home Field Advantage
Blackhawks are 1-0 at home this season; Blues are 0-1 on the road
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Blackhawks has a 58% win probability, while Blues has a 42% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at United Center in Chicago, IL.