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Seattle Kraken at Vancouver Canucks

NHLpreseason • 2027-2028 Season
completed
Canucks logo
Canucks
Vancouver
4
vs
Kraken logo
Kraken
Seattle
3
VAN 36%64% SEA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Seattle Kraken 64% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Kraken:

  • Injuries. Kraken healthier (1 out, 0 doubtful) vs Canucks (3 out, 0 doubtful)
  • Home Field Advantage. Canucks are 0-1 at home this season; Kraken are 1-0 on the road
  • ELO Rating. Canucks ELO 1447 vs Kraken ELO 1472 (diff: -25)

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VenueRogers Arena
Vancouver, BC

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Kraken (away)
Canucks (home)
64%
Win probability
36%
1
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Canucks defeated the Kraken 4-3.

Our model predicted the Kraken would win with 64% confidence, but the Canucks pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Injuries favored the Kraken and was a major factor: Kraken healthier (1 out, 0 doubtful) vs Canucks (3 out, 0 doubtful)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Kraken and was a contributing factor: Canucks are 0-1 at home this season; Kraken are 1-0 on the road
  • ELO Rating favored the Kraken and was a contributing factor: Canucks ELO 1447 vs Kraken ELO 1472 (diff: -25)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Canucks have 3 player(s) ruled out, while the Kraken have 2.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Canucks won 4-3

Canucks won in a close game

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Kraken at 64%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Seattle Kraken
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Seattle Kraken
  • ELO RatingFavors Seattle Kraken
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

SEA
VAN
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Favours SEA|Favours VAN

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Injuries

Kraken healthier (1 out, 0 doubtful) vs Canucks (3 out, 0 doubtful)

Kraken
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 9/26/2026, 10:45:01 PM

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Canucks has a 36% win probability, while Kraken has a 64% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Rogers Arena in Vancouver, BC.

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