Seattle Kraken at Edmonton Oilers
Seattle Kraken 62% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Kraken:
- Injuries. Kraken healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Oilers 9 out, 0 doubtful
- Recent Form. Kraken (1-0) in better form than Oilers (1-0)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Oilers defeated the Kraken 3-1.
Our model predicted the Kraken would win with 62% confidence, but the Oilers pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Kraken and was a major factor: Kraken healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Oilers 9 out, 0 doubtful
- Recent Form favored the Kraken and was a notable factor: Kraken (1-0) in better form than Oilers (1-0)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Oilers and was a notable factor: Oilers are 2-1 at home this season; Kraken are 2-1 on the road
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Oilers have 9 player(s) ruled out, while the Kraken have 2.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Oilers won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Seattle Kraken
- Recent FormFavors Seattle Kraken
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Edmonton Oilers
- ELO RatingFavors Edmonton Oilers
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Oilers
Kraken
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Kraken healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Oilers 9 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Injury Report
Oilers
Kraken
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Oilers has a 38% win probability, while Kraken has a 62% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB.