Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames
Calgary Flames 57% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Flames:
- Home Field Advantage. Flames are 1-1 at home this season; Kraken are 1-1 on the road
- Injuries. Flames less affected by injuries: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Kraken 2 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Kraken players matter more
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Kraken defeated the Flames 6-1.
Our model predicted the Flames would win with 57% confidence, but the Kraken pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Flames and was a notable factor: Flames are 1-1 at home this season; Kraken are 1-1 on the road
- Injuries favored the Flames and was a contributing factor: Flames less affected by injuries: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Kraken 2 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Kraken players matte...
- Offensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: Offensive efficiency stats not yet available
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Flames have 2 player(s) ruled out, while the Kraken have 2.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Kraken won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Calgary Flames
- InjuriesFavors Calgary Flames
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Flames
Kraken
Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Injury Report
Flames
Kraken
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Flames has a 57% win probability, while Kraken has a 43% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, AB.