Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia Flyers 69% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Flyers:
- Injuries. Flyers healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Penguins 9 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage. Flyers are 1-1 at home this season; Penguins are 1-1 on the road
Make Your Prediction
View leaderboard to see rankings
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Penguins defeated the Flyers 7-0.
Our model predicted the Flyers would win with 69% confidence, but the Penguins pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Flyers and was a major factor: Flyers healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Penguins 9 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage favored the Flyers and was a notable factor: Flyers are 1-1 at home this season; Penguins are 1-1 on the road
- ELO Rating was neutral and a contributing factor: Flyers ELO 1506 vs Penguins ELO 1496 (diff: +10)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Flyers have 3 player(s) ruled out, while the Penguins have 9.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Penguins won comfortably
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Philadelphia Flyers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia Flyers
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Model vs. Market
Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Flyers
Penguins
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Flyers healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Penguins 9 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Injury Report
Flyers
Penguins
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Flyers has a 69% win probability, while Penguins has a 31% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA.