Pittsburgh Penguins at Chicago Blackhawks
Chicago Blackhawks 53% to win. The biggest signal favoring Blackhawks:
- Home Field Advantage. Blackhawks are 3-0 at home this season; Penguins are 2-2 on the road
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Penguins at Blackhawks
The Penguins visit the Blackhawks at United Center in Chicago, IL in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.
Our model gives the Blackhawks a 53% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. The Penguins will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Blackhawks (medium): Blackhawks are 3-0 at home this season; Penguins are 2-2 on the road
- Recent Form favors the Penguins (low): Penguins (2-2) in better form than Blackhawks (1-3)
- ELO Rating favors the Penguins (low): Blackhawks ELO 1448 vs Penguins ELO 1506 (diff: -59)
has a slight edge to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Chicago Blackhawks
- Recent FormFavors Pittsburgh Penguins
- ELO RatingFavors Pittsburgh Penguins
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Penguins
Blackhawks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Blackhawks has a 53% win probability, while Penguins has a 47% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at United Center in Chicago, IL.