Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils
New Jersey Devils 66% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Devils:
- Home Field Advantage. Devils are 2-0 at home this season; Flyers are 0-2 on the road
- Rest Days. Devils rest advantage (4 days rest) over Flyers (back-to-back)
- ELO Rating. Devils ELO 1524 vs Flyers ELO 1492 (diff: +31)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Devils defeated the Flyers 3-2.
Our model predicted the Devils would win with 66% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Devils and was a major factor: Devils are 2-0 at home this season; Flyers are 0-2 on the road
- Rest Days favored the Devils and was a major factor: Devils rest advantage (4 days rest) over Flyers (back-to-back)
- Injuries favored the Flyers and was a notable factor: Flyers healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Devils 4 out, 0 doubtful
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Devils have 4 player(s) ruled out, while the Flyers have 3.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Devils won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors New Jersey Devils
- Rest DaysFavors New Jersey Devils
- InjuriesFavors Philadelphia Flyers
- ELO RatingFavors New Jersey Devils
- Recent FormNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Devils
Flyers
Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
1 factor
Home Field Advantage
Devils are 2-0 at home this season; Flyers are 0-2 on the road
Rest Days
Devils rest advantage (4 days rest) over Flyers (back-to-back)
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Injury Report
Devils
Flyers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Devils has a 66% win probability, while Flyers has a 34% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Prudential Center in Newark, NJ.