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Philadelphia Flyers at Detroit Red Wings

NHLregular • 2027-2028 Season
Scheduled
Red Wings logo
Red Wings
Detroit
0
vs
Flyers logo
Flyers
Philadelphia
0
DET 62%38% PHI
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Detroit Red Wings 62% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Red Wings:

  • Home Field Advantage. Red Wings are 2-3 at home this season; Flyers are 0-4 on the road
  • Recent Form. Red Wings (1-2) in better form than Flyers (0-2)

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VenueLittle Caesars Arena
Detroit, MI

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Flyers (away)
Red Wings (home)
38%
Win probability
62%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Game Preview

Flyers at Red Wings

The Flyers visit the Red Wings at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.

Our model gives the Red Wings a 62% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. The Flyers will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Home Field Advantage favors the Red Wings (medium): Red Wings are 2-3 at home this season; Flyers are 0-4 on the road
  • Recent Form favors the Red Wings (low): Red Wings (1-2) in better form than Flyers (0-2)
  • ELO Rating is neutral: Red Wings ELO 1481 vs Flyers ELO 1477 (diff: +4)
Red Wings62%

is favored to win

Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors DET

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Detroit Red Wings
  • Recent FormFavors Detroit Red Wings
  • ELO RatingNeutral
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

PHI
DET
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
ELO Rating
Favours PHI|Favours DET

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/8/2026, 8:50:04 AM

Key Players

Flyers

Joseph WollG
Dan VladarG
Christian DvorakC
Sean CouturierC
Noel AcciariC

Red Wings

John GibsonG
Daniil TarasovG
Emmitt FinnieC
Nate DanielsonC
Michael RasmussenC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Red Wings has a 62% win probability, while Flyers has a 38% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI.

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