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Ottawa Senators at Philadelphia Flyers

NHLregular • 2027-2028 Season
Scheduled
Flyers logo
Flyers
Philadelphia
0
vs
Senators logo
Senators
Ottawa
0
PHI 46%54% OTT
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Ottawa Senators 54% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Senators:

  • Recent Form. Senators (2-1) in better form than Flyers (0-2)
  • ELO Rating. Flyers ELO 1477 vs Senators ELO 1508 (diff: -31)

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VenueXfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia, PA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Senators (away)
Flyers (home)
54%
Win probability
46%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Game Preview

Senators at Flyers

The Senators visit the Flyers at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.

Our model gives the Senators a 54% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. The Flyers will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Recent Form favors the Senators (medium): Senators (2-1) in better form than Flyers (0-2)
  • Home Field Advantage favors the Flyers (low): Flyers are 1-3 at home this season; Senators are 2-4 on the road
  • ELO Rating favors the Senators (low): Flyers ELO 1477 vs Senators ELO 1508 (diff: -31)
Senators54%

has a slight edge to win

Key Factor
Recent Form
Favors OTT

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Recent FormFavors Ottawa Senators
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia Flyers
  • ELO RatingFavors Ottawa Senators
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

OTT
PHI
Recent Form
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Favours OTT|Favours PHI

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/8/2026, 8:50:05 AM

Key Players

Senators

Samuel ErssonG
Linus UllmarkG
Shane PintoC
Tim StutzleC
Nick CousinsC

Flyers

Joseph WollG
Dan VladarG
Christian DvorakC
Sean CouturierC
Noel AcciariC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Flyers has a 46% win probability, while Senators has a 54% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA.

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