New York Rangers at Toronto Maple Leafs
New York Rangers 50% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Rangers:
- Recent Form. Rangers (4-1) in better form than Maple Leafs (2-2)
- ELO Rating. Maple Leafs ELO 1467 vs Rangers ELO 1528 (diff: -62)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Rangers at Maple Leafs
The Rangers visit the Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.
Our model gives the Rangers a 50% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. The Maple Leafs will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Maple Leafs (medium): Maple Leafs are 3-3 at home this season; Rangers are 2-2 on the road
- Recent Form favors the Rangers (low): Rangers (4-1) in better form than Maple Leafs (2-2)
- ELO Rating favors the Rangers (low): Maple Leafs ELO 1467 vs Rangers ELO 1528 (diff: -62)
has a slight edge to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Toronto Maple Leafs
- Recent FormFavors New York Rangers
- ELO RatingFavors New York Rangers
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Rangers
No player data available
Maple Leafs
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Maple Leafs has a 50% win probability, while Rangers has a 50% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON.