New York Rangers at Detroit Red Wings
New York Rangers 51% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Rangers:
- Injuries. Rangers healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Red Wings 5 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating. Red Wings ELO 1485 vs Rangers ELO 1510 (diff: -25)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Rangers defeated the Red Wings 2-0.
Our model predicted the Rangers would win with 51% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Rangers and was a major factor: Rangers healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Red Wings 5 out, 0 doubtful
- Rest Days favored the Red Wings and was a major factor: Red Wings rest advantage (5 days rest) over Rangers (back-to-back)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Red Wings and was a notable factor: Red Wings are 1-1 at home this season; Rangers are 1-2 on the road
- The Red Wings are without 5 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Rangers won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors New York Rangers
- Rest DaysFavors Detroit Red Wings
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Detroit Red Wings
- ELO RatingFavors New York Rangers
- Recent FormNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries
Rangers healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Red Wings 5 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest Days
Red Wings rest advantage (5 days rest) over Rangers (back-to-back)
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Injury Report
Red Wings
Rangers
No injuries reported
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Red Wings has a 49% win probability, while Rangers has a 51% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI.