New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs 59% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Maple Leafs:
- Home Field Advantage. Maple Leafs are 3-3 at home this season; Islanders are 1-3 on the road
- Recent Form. Maple Leafs (2-2) in better form than Islanders (1-2)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Islanders at Maple Leafs
The Islanders visit the Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.
Our model gives the Maple Leafs a 59% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. The Islanders will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Maple Leafs (medium): Maple Leafs are 3-3 at home this season; Islanders are 1-3 on the road
- Recent Form favors the Maple Leafs (low): Maple Leafs (2-2) in better form than Islanders (1-2)
- ELO Rating is neutral: Maple Leafs ELO 1467 vs Islanders ELO 1456 (diff: +11)
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Toronto Maple Leafs
- Recent FormFavors Toronto Maple Leafs
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Islanders
Maple Leafs
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Maple Leafs has a 59% win probability, while Islanders has a 41% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON.