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New York Islanders at Minnesota Wild

NHLregular • 2027-2028 Season
Scheduled
Wild logo
Wild
Minnesota
0
vs
Islanders logo
Islanders
New York
0
MIN 63%37% NYI
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Minnesota Wild 63% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Wild:

  • Home Field Advantage. Wild are 4-1 at home this season; Islanders are 1-4 on the road
  • ELO Rating. Wild ELO 1513 vs Islanders ELO 1458 (diff: +55)
  • Recent Form. Wild (5-2) in better form than Islanders (3-3)

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VenueGrand Casino Arena
Saint Paul, MN

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Islanders (away)
Wild (home)
37%
Win probability
63%
0
High-impact factors
1
0
Players ruled out
0

Game Preview

Islanders at Wild

The Islanders visit the Wild at Grand Casino Arena in Saint Paul, MN in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.

Our model gives the Wild a 63% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. The Islanders will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Home Field Advantage favors the Wild (high): Wild are 4-1 at home this season; Islanders are 1-4 on the road
  • ELO Rating favors the Wild (low): Wild ELO 1513 vs Islanders ELO 1458 (diff: +55)
  • Recent Form favors the Wild (low): Wild (5-2) in better form than Islanders (3-3)
Wild63%

is favored to win

Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors MIN

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Minnesota Wild
  • ELO RatingFavors Minnesota Wild
  • Recent FormFavors Minnesota Wild
  • InjuriesNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

NYI
MIN
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Recent Form
Favours NYI|Favours MIN

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Home Field Advantage

Wild are 4-1 at home this season; Islanders are 1-4 on the road

Wild
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/16/2026, 8:50:06 AM

Key Players

Islanders

Semyon VarlamovG
Ilya SorokinG
Brayden SchennC
Kyle PalmieriC
Calum RitchieC

Wild

Jesper WallstedtG
Calvin PickardG
Nico SturmC
Joel Eriksson EkC
Michael McCarronC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Wild has a 63% win probability, while Islanders has a 37% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Grand Casino Arena in Saint Paul, MN.

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