New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders
New York Islanders 52% to win. The biggest signal favoring Islanders:
- Injuries. Islanders healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Devils 4 out, 0 doubtful
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Islanders defeated the Devils 6-0.
Our model predicted the Islanders would win with 52% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Islanders and was a major factor: Islanders healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Devils 4 out, 0 doubtful
- Recent Form favored the Devils and was a major factor: Devils (1-0) in better form than Islanders (0-1)
- ELO Rating favored the Devils and was a contributing factor: Islanders ELO 1448 vs Devils ELO 1527 (diff: -78)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Islanders have 1 player(s) ruled out, while the Devils have 4.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Islanders won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors New York Islanders
- Recent FormFavors New Jersey Devils
- ELO RatingFavors New Jersey Devils
- Home Field AdvantageNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Islanders
Devils
Understanding the win probability calculation
Recent Form
Devils (1-0) in better form than Islanders (0-1)
Turnover Differential
Islanders turnover differential (+0) vs Devils (+0)
Offensive Efficiency
Offensive efficiency stats not yet available
Defensive Efficiency
Defensive efficiency stats not yet available
Injuries
Islanders healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Devils 4 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Injury Report
Islanders
Devils
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Islanders has a 52% win probability, while Devils has a 48% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at UBS Arena in Elmont, NY.