New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders
New York Islanders 60% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Islanders:
- Injuries. Islanders healthier (1 out, 0 doubtful) vs Devils (3 out, 0 doubtful)
- Home Field Advantage. Islanders are 0-1 at home this season; Devils are 0-1 on the road
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Devils defeated the Islanders 4-1.
Our model predicted the Islanders would win with 60% confidence, but the Devils pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Islanders and was a major factor: Islanders healthier (1 out, 0 doubtful) vs Devils (3 out, 0 doubtful)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Islanders and was a notable factor: Islanders are 0-1 at home this season; Devils are 0-1 on the road
- ELO Rating favored the Devils and was a contributing factor: Islanders ELO 1460 vs Devils ELO 1516 (diff: -56)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Islanders have 1 player(s) ruled out, while the Devils have 3.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Devils won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors New York Islanders
- Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Islanders
- ELO RatingFavors New Jersey Devils
- Rest DaysFavors New Jersey Devils
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Islanders healthier (1 out, 0 doubtful) vs Devils (3 out, 0 doubtful)
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Islanders has a 60% win probability, while Devils has a 40% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at UBS Arena in Elmont, NY.