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Minnesota Wild at Colorado Avalanche

NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Avalanche logo
Avalanche
Colorado
5
vs
Wild logo
Wild
Minnesota
2
COL 56%44% MIN
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueBall Arena
Denver, CO

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Wild (away)
Avalanche (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Avalanche defeated the Wild 5-2.

Our model predicted the Avalanche would win with 56% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Avalanche and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Turnover Differential was neutral and a contributing factor: No turnover stats available for comparison
  • Head to Head was neutral and a contributing factor: No recent head-to-head history available

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Avalanche won 5-2

Avalanche won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Avalanche at 56%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

MIN
COL
Home Field Advantage
Favours MIN|Favours COL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Avalanche

Our Model56%

Wild

Our Model44%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 5/5/2026, 8:50:00 AM

Key Players

Wild

Riley MercerG
Filip GustavssonG
Cal PetersenG
Jesper WallstedtG
Chase WutzkeG

Avalanche

Mackenzie BlackwoodG
Scott WedgewoodG
Isak PoschG
Ivan IvanC
Nazem KadriC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Avalanche has a 56% win probability, while Wild has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Ball Arena in Denver, CO.

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