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Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHLregular • 2027-2028 Season
completed
Hurricanes logo
Hurricanes
Carolina
0
vs
Panthers logo
Panthers
Florida
1
CAR 65%35% FLA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Carolina Hurricanes 65% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Hurricanes:

  • Home Field Advantage. Hurricanes are 2-0 at home this season; Panthers are 1-1 on the road
  • Injuries. Hurricanes healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Panthers 3 out, 0 doubtful
  • ELO Rating. Hurricanes ELO 1587 vs Panthers ELO 1515 (diff: +72)

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VenueLenovo Center
Raleigh, NC

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Panthers (away)
Hurricanes (home)
35%
Win probability
65%
0
High-impact factors
0
3
Players ruled out
2

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Panthers defeated the Hurricanes 1-0.

Our model predicted the Hurricanes would win with 65% confidence, but the Panthers pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Hurricanes and was a notable factor: Hurricanes are 2-0 at home this season; Panthers are 1-1 on the road
  • Injuries favored the Hurricanes and was a notable factor: Hurricanes healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Panthers 3 out, 0 doubtful
  • ELO Rating favored the Hurricanes and was a contributing factor: Hurricanes ELO 1587 vs Panthers ELO 1515 (diff: +72)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Hurricanes have 2 player(s) ruled out, while the Panthers have 3.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Panthers won 0-1

Panthers won in a close game

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Hurricanes at 65%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Carolina Hurricanes
  • InjuriesFavors Carolina Hurricanes
  • ELO RatingFavors Carolina Hurricanes
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

FLA
CAR
Home Field Advantage
Injuries
ELO Rating
Rest Days
Favours FLA|Favours CAR

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Hurricanes

Our Model65%

Panthers

Our Model35%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 9/29/2026, 8:45:01 PM

Hurricanes

Seth JarvisC(Shoulder)
OUT
Alexander NikishinD(Contract Dispute)
OUT

Panthers

Jonah GadjovichLW(Upper Body)
OUT
Brad MarchandLW(Lower Body)
OUT
MacKenzie EntwistleRW(Undisclosed)
OUT

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Guide

NHL Win Probability

How we calculate NHL game outcome probabilities

4 min readRead article

Frequently Asked Questions

Hurricanes has a 65% win probability, while Panthers has a 35% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Lenovo Center in Raleigh, NC.

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