Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks
Vancouver Canucks 72% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Canucks:
- Injuries. Canucks healthier: 5 out, 0 doubtful vs Oilers 9 out, 0 doubtful
- Recent Form. Canucks (1-0) in better form than Oilers (0-0)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Oilers defeated the Canucks 9-7.
Our model predicted the Canucks would win with 72% confidence, but the Oilers pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Canucks and was a major factor: Canucks healthier: 5 out, 0 doubtful vs Oilers 9 out, 0 doubtful
- Recent Form favored the Canucks and was a major factor: Canucks (1-0) in better form than Oilers (0-0)
- ELO Rating favored the Oilers and was a contributing factor: Canucks ELO 1456 vs Oilers ELO 1522 (diff: -66)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Canucks have 5 player(s) ruled out, while the Oilers have 9.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Oilers won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Vancouver Canucks
- Recent FormFavors Vancouver Canucks
- ELO RatingFavors Edmonton Oilers
- Home Field AdvantageNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Canucks
Oilers
Understanding the win probability calculation
Recent Form
Canucks (1-0) in better form than Oilers (0-0)
Turnover Differential
Canucks turnover differential (+0) vs Oilers (+0)
Offensive Efficiency
Offensive efficiency stats not yet available
Defensive Efficiency
Defensive efficiency stats not yet available
Injuries
Canucks healthier: 5 out, 0 doubtful vs Oilers 9 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Injury Report
Canucks
Oilers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Canucks has a 72% win probability, while Oilers has a 28% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Rogers Arena in Vancouver, BC.