Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks
Edmonton Oilers 54% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Oilers:
- Injuries. Oilers healthier (2 out, 0 doubtful) vs Canucks (2 out, 0 doubtful)
- ELO Rating. Canucks ELO 1451 vs Oilers ELO 1517 (diff: -67)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Oilers defeated the Canucks 2-1.
Our model predicted the Oilers would win with 54% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Oilers and was a notable factor: Oilers healthier (2 out, 0 doubtful) vs Canucks (2 out, 0 doubtful)
- ELO Rating favored the Oilers and was a contributing factor: Canucks ELO 1451 vs Oilers ELO 1517 (diff: -67)
- Home Field Advantage was neutral and a contributing factor: First home game of the season for Canucks; Oilers are 1-0 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Canucks have 2 player(s) ruled out, while the Oilers have 2.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Oilers won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Edmonton Oilers
- ELO RatingFavors Edmonton Oilers
- Home Field AdvantageNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Canucks has a 46% win probability, while Oilers has a 54% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Rogers Arena in Vancouver, BC.