Edmonton Oilers at New York Islanders
Edmonton Oilers 54% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Oilers:
- ELO Rating. Islanders ELO 1457 vs Oilers ELO 1545 (diff: -88)
- Recent Form. Oilers (5-1) in better form than Islanders (3-3)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Oilers at Islanders
The Oilers visit the Islanders at UBS Arena in Elmont, NY in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.
Our model gives the Oilers a 54% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. The Islanders will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- ELO Rating favors the Oilers (low): Islanders ELO 1457 vs Oilers ELO 1545 (diff: -88)
- Recent Form favors the Oilers (low): Oilers (5-1) in better form than Islanders (3-3)
- Home Field Advantage is neutral: Islanders are 3-3 at home this season; Oilers are 6-0 on the road
has a slight edge to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- ELO RatingFavors Edmonton Oilers
- Recent FormFavors Edmonton Oilers
- Home Field AdvantageNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Oilers
Islanders
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Islanders has a 46% win probability, while Oilers has a 54% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at UBS Arena in Elmont, NY.