Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim Ducks 68% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Ducks:
- Injuries. Ducks healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Oilers 9 out, 0 doubtful
- Recent Form. Ducks (2-0) in better form than Oilers (2-0)
- Home Field Advantage. Ducks are 2-1 at home this season; Oilers are 3-0 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Oilers defeated the Ducks 5-2.
Our model predicted the Ducks would win with 68% confidence, but the Oilers pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Ducks and was a major factor: Ducks healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Oilers 9 out, 0 doubtful
- Recent Form favored the Ducks and was a contributing factor: Ducks (2-0) in better form than Oilers (2-0)
- ELO Rating favored the Oilers and was a contributing factor: Ducks ELO 1471 vs Oilers ELO 1533 (diff: -61)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Ducks have 3 player(s) ruled out, while the Oilers have 9.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Oilers won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Anaheim Ducks
- Recent FormFavors Anaheim Ducks
- ELO RatingFavors Edmonton Oilers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Anaheim Ducks
- Rest DaysFavors Anaheim Ducks
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Ducks
Oilers
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Ducks healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Oilers 9 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Oilers
Ducks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Ducks has a 68% win probability, while Oilers has a 32% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Honda Center in Anaheim, CA.