Detroit Red Wings at Calgary Flames
Calgary Flames 50% to win. The biggest signal favoring Flames:
- Home Field Advantage. Flames are 1-4 at home this season; Red Wings are 1-2 on the road
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Red Wings at Flames
The Red Wings visit the Flames at Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, AB in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.
Our model gives the Flames a 50% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. The Red Wings will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Flames (low): Flames are 1-4 at home this season; Red Wings are 1-2 on the road
- Recent Form favors the Red Wings (low): Red Wings (1-3) in better form than Flames (0-5)
- ELO Rating favors the Red Wings (low): Flames ELO 1426 vs Red Wings ELO 1468 (diff: -42)
has a slight edge to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Calgary Flames
- Recent FormFavors Detroit Red Wings
- ELO RatingFavors Detroit Red Wings
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Red Wings
Flames
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Flames has a 50% win probability, while Red Wings has a 50% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, AB.