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Dallas Stars at Nashville Predators

NHLregular • 2027-2028 Season
completed
Predators logo
Predators
Nashville
2
vs
Stars logo
Stars
Dallas
1
NSH 71%29% DAL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Nashville Predators 71% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Predators:

  • Injuries. Predators healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Stars 6 out, 0 doubtful
  • Rest Days. Predators rest advantage (2 days rest) over Stars (back-to-back)

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VenueBridgestone Arena
Nashville, TN

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Stars (away)
Predators (home)
29%
Win probability
71%
0
High-impact factors
2
6
Players ruled out
1

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Predators defeated the Stars 2-1.

Our model predicted the Predators would win with 71% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Injuries favored the Predators and was a major factor: Predators healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Stars 6 out, 0 doubtful
  • Rest Days favored the Predators and was a major factor: Predators rest advantage (2 days rest) over Stars (back-to-back)
  • ELO Rating favored the Stars and was a contributing factor: Predators ELO 1472 vs Stars ELO 1494 (diff: -22)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Predators have 1 player(s) ruled out, while the Stars have 6.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Predators won 2-1

Predators won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Predators at 71%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Nashville Predators
  • Rest DaysFavors Nashville Predators
  • ELO RatingFavors Dallas Stars
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • Home Field AdvantageNeutral
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

DAL
NSH
Injuries
Rest Days
ELO Rating
Recent Form
Home Field Advantage
Favours DAL|Favours NSH

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Predators

Our Model71%

Stars

Our Model29%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Injuries

Predators healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Stars 6 out, 0 doubtful

Predators

Rest Days

Predators rest advantage (2 days rest) over Stars (back-to-back)

Predators
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/3/2026, 11:45:02 PM

Predators

Justus AnnunenG(Undisclosed)
OUT

Stars

Matt DucheneC(Lower Body)
OUT
Jaxon FuderC(Undisclosed)
OUT
Harrison ScottC(Undisclosed)
OUT
Cameron HughesC(Upper Body)
OUT
Luke KrysD(Undisclosed)
OUT
Tristan BertucciD(Undisclosed)
OUT

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Predators has a 71% win probability, while Stars has a 29% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, TN.

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