Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild
Minnesota Wild 68% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Wild:
- Injuries. Wild healthier (1 out, 0 doubtful) vs Stars (6 out, 0 doubtful)
- Home Field Advantage. Wild are 1-0 at home this season; Stars are 1-0 on the road
Make Your Prediction
View leaderboard to see rankings
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Stars defeated the Wild 2-1.
Our model predicted the Wild would win with 68% confidence, but the Stars pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Wild and was a major factor: Wild healthier (1 out, 0 doubtful) vs Stars (6 out, 0 doubtful)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Wild and was a notable factor: Wild are 1-0 at home this season; Stars are 1-0 on the road
- ELO Rating was neutral and a contributing factor: Wild ELO 1498 vs Stars ELO 1500 (diff: -2)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Wild have 1 player(s) ruled out, while the Stars have 6.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Stars won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Minnesota Wild
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Minnesota Wild
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Wild healthier (1 out, 0 doubtful) vs Stars (6 out, 0 doubtful)
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Wild has a 68% win probability, while Stars has a 32% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Grand Casino Arena in Saint Paul, MN.