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Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets

NHLregular • 2027-2028 Season
Scheduled
Jets logo
Jets
Winnipeg
0
vs
Avalanche logo
Avalanche
Colorado
0
WPG 56%44% COL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Winnipeg Jets 56% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Jets:

  • Injuries. Jets healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Avalanche 4 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage. Jets are 1-2 at home this season; Avalanche are 0-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)

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VenueCanada Life Centre
Winnipeg, MB

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Avalanche (away)
Jets (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
1
High-impact factors
1
4
Players ruled out
0

Game Preview

Avalanche at Jets

The Avalanche visit the Jets at Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg, MB in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.

Our model gives the Jets a 56% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. The Avalanche will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Injuries favors the Jets (high): Jets healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Avalanche 4 out, 0 doubtful
  • Recent Form favors the Avalanche (high): Avalanche (2-0) in better form than Jets (0-0)
  • Home Field Advantage favors the Jets (medium): Jets are 1-2 at home this season; Avalanche are 0-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
  • The Avalanche are without 4 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
Jets56%

is favored to win

Key Factor
Injuries
Favors WPG

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Winnipeg Jets
  • Recent FormFavors Colorado Avalanche
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Winnipeg Jets
  • ELO RatingFavors Colorado Avalanche
  • Rest DaysFavors Colorado Avalanche
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

COL
WPG
Injuries
Recent Form
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Rest Days
Favours COL|Favours WPG

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Recent Form

Avalanche (2-0) in better form than Jets (0-0)

Avalanche

Offensive Efficiency

Offensive efficiency stats not yet available

Neutral

Turnover Differential

Jets turnover differential (+0) vs Avalanche (+0)

Neutral

Defensive Efficiency

Defensive efficiency stats not yet available

Neutral

Injuries

Jets healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Avalanche 4 out, 0 doubtful

Jets
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/4/2026, 8:50:02 AM

Jets

No injuries reported

Avalanche

Georgii MerkulovC(Undisclosed)
OUT
Trent MinerG(Undisclosed)
OUT
Zachary L'HeureuxLW(Lower Body)
OUT
Logan O'ConnorRW(Lower Body)
OUT

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Jets has a 56% win probability, while Avalanche has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg, MB.

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