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Colorado Avalanche at Philadelphia Flyers

NHLregular • 2027-2028 Season
Scheduled
Flyers logo
Flyers
Philadelphia
0
vs
Avalanche logo
Avalanche
Colorado
0
PHI 46%54% COL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Colorado Avalanche 54% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Avalanche:

  • Recent Form. Avalanche (2-1) in better form than Flyers (0-2)
  • ELO Rating. Flyers ELO 1477 vs Avalanche ELO 1545 (diff: -68)

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VenueXfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia, PA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Avalanche (away)
Flyers (home)
54%
Win probability
46%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Game Preview

Avalanche at Flyers

The Avalanche visit the Flyers at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.

Our model gives the Avalanche a 54% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. The Flyers will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Recent Form favors the Avalanche (medium): Avalanche (2-1) in better form than Flyers (0-2)
  • Home Field Advantage favors the Flyers (medium): Flyers are 1-3 at home this season; Avalanche are 0-3 on the road
  • ELO Rating favors the Avalanche (low): Flyers ELO 1477 vs Avalanche ELO 1545 (diff: -68)
Avalanche54%

has a slight edge to win

Key Factor
Recent Form
Favors COL

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Recent FormFavors Colorado Avalanche
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia Flyers
  • ELO RatingFavors Colorado Avalanche
  • InjuriesNeutral
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

COL
PHI
Recent Form
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Favours COL|Favours PHI

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/8/2026, 8:50:06 AM

Key Players

Avalanche

Scott WedgewoodG
Mackenzie BlackwoodG
Trent MinerG
Georgii MerkulovC
Fedor SvechkovC

Flyers

Joseph WollG
Dan VladarG
Christian DvorakC
Sean CouturierC
Noel AcciariC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Flyers has a 46% win probability, while Avalanche has a 54% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA.

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