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Colorado Avalanche at Minnesota Wild

NHLregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Wild logo
Wild
Minnesota
2
vs
Avalanche logo
Avalanche
Colorado
5
MIN 56%44% COL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueGrand Casino Arena
Saint Paul, MN

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Avalanche (away)
Wild (home)
44%
Win probability
56%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Avalanche defeated the Wild 5-2.

Our model predicted the Wild would win with 56% confidence, but the Avalanche pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Wild and was a notable factor: Base home field advantage applied (no detailed stats available)
  • Defensive Efficiency was neutral and a contributing factor: No defensive stats available for comparison
  • Turnover Differential was neutral and a contributing factor: No turnover stats available for comparison

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Avalanche won 2-5

Avalanche won in a close game

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Wild at 56%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

COL
MIN
Home Field Advantage
Favours COL|Favours MIN

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 5/11/2026, 8:50:00 AM

Key Players

Avalanche

Mackenzie BlackwoodG
Scott WedgewoodG
Isak PoschG
Ivan IvanC
Nazem KadriC

Wild

Riley MercerG
Filip GustavssonG
Cal PetersenG
Jesper WallstedtG
Chase WutzkeG

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Wild has a 56% win probability, while Avalanche has a 44% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Grand Casino Arena in Saint Paul, MN.

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