Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars
Dallas Stars 53% to win. The biggest signal favoring Stars:
- Home Field Advantage. Stars are 3-1 at home this season; Avalanche are 0-3 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Avalanche at Stars
The Avalanche visit the Stars at American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.
Our model gives the Stars a 53% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. The Avalanche will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Stars (medium): Stars are 3-1 at home this season; Avalanche are 0-3 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Recent Form favors the Avalanche (low): Avalanche (2-1) in better form than Stars (1-2)
- ELO Rating favors the Avalanche (low): Stars ELO 1499 vs Avalanche ELO 1545 (diff: -46)
has a slight edge to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Dallas Stars
- Recent FormFavors Colorado Avalanche
- ELO RatingFavors Colorado Avalanche
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Avalanche
Stars
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Stars has a 53% win probability, while Avalanche has a 47% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX.