Chicago Blackhawks at Buffalo Sabres
Chicago Blackhawks 50% to win. The biggest signal favoring Blackhawks:
- Injuries. Blackhawks healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Sabres 5 out, 0 doubtful
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Sabres defeated the Blackhawks 4-3.
Our model predicted the Blackhawks would win with 50% confidence, but the Sabres pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Blackhawks and was a major factor: Blackhawks healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Sabres 5 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage favored the Sabres and was a notable factor: Sabres are 1-1 at home this season; Blackhawks are 0-4 on the road
- ELO Rating favored the Sabres and was a contributing factor: Sabres ELO 1504 vs Blackhawks ELO 1442 (diff: +61)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Sabres have 5 player(s) ruled out, while the Blackhawks have 3.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Sabres won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Chicago Blackhawks
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Buffalo Sabres
- ELO RatingFavors Buffalo Sabres
- Rest DaysFavors Buffalo Sabres
- Recent FormNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Sabres
Blackhawks
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Blackhawks healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Sabres 5 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Injury Report
Sabres
Blackhawks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Sabres has a 50% win probability, while Blackhawks has a 50% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY.