Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks
Calgary Flames 51% to win. The biggest signal favoring Flames:
- Injuries. Flames healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Canucks 6 out, 0 doubtful
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Canucks defeated the Flames 4-1.
Our model predicted the Flames would win with 51% confidence, but the Canucks pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Flames and was a major factor: Flames healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Canucks 6 out, 0 doubtful
- Recent Form favored the Canucks and was a notable factor: Canucks (1-1) in better form than Flames (0-1)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Canucks and was a notable factor: Canucks are 1-2 at home this season; Flames are 0-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Canucks have 6 player(s) ruled out, while the Flames have 1.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Canucks won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Calgary Flames
- Recent FormFavors Vancouver Canucks
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Vancouver Canucks
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Canucks
Flames
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Flames healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Canucks 6 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Injury Report
Canucks
Flames
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Canucks has a 49% win probability, while Flames has a 51% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Rogers Arena in Vancouver, BC.