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Calgary Flames at Seattle Kraken

NHLregular • 2027-2028 Season
Scheduled
Kraken logo
Kraken
Seattle
0
vs
Flames logo
Flames
Calgary
0
SEA 69%31% CGY
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Seattle Kraken 69% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Kraken:

  • Home Field Advantage. Kraken are 2-0 at home this season; Flames are 0-3 on the road
  • Recent Form. Kraken (1-1) in better form than Flames (0-2)
  • Rest Days. Kraken rest advantage (1 day rest) over Flames (back-to-back)

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VenueClimate Pledge Arena
Seattle, WA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Flames (away)
Kraken (home)
31%
Win probability
69%
0
High-impact factors
2
1
Players ruled out
2

Game Preview

Flames at Kraken

The Flames visit the Kraken at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.

Our model gives the Kraken a 69% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. The Flames will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Home Field Advantage favors the Kraken (high): Kraken are 2-0 at home this season; Flames are 0-3 on the road
  • Recent Form favors the Kraken (medium): Kraken (1-1) in better form than Flames (0-2)
  • Rest Days favors the Kraken (high): Kraken rest advantage (1 day rest) over Flames (back-to-back)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Kraken have 2 player(s) ruled out, while the Flames have 1.
Kraken69%

is strongly favored to win

Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors SEA

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Seattle Kraken
  • Recent FormFavors Seattle Kraken
  • Rest DaysFavors Seattle Kraken
  • InjuriesFavors Calgary Flames
  • ELO RatingFavors Seattle Kraken
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CGY
SEA
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
Rest Days
Injuries
ELO Rating
Favours CGY|Favours SEA

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Kraken

Our Model69%

Flames

Our Model31%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Home Field Advantage

Kraken are 2-0 at home this season; Flames are 0-3 on the road

Kraken

Rest Days

Kraken rest advantage (1 day rest) over Flames (back-to-back)

Kraken
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/4/2026, 8:50:00 AM

Kraken

Jake O'BrienC(Lower Body)
OUT
Jacob MelansonRW(Upper Body)
OUT

Flames

Jonathan HuberdeauLW(Hip)
OUT

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Kraken has a 69% win probability, while Flames has a 31% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA.

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