Calgary Flames at Seattle Kraken
Seattle Kraken 61% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Kraken:
- Home Field Advantage. Kraken are 1-0 at home this season
- Injuries. Kraken healthier (0 out, 0 doubtful) vs Flames (1 out, 0 doubtful)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Kraken defeated the Flames 4-3.
Our model predicted the Kraken would win with 61% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Kraken and was a notable factor: Kraken are 1-0 at home this season
- Injuries favored the Kraken and was a contributing factor: Kraken healthier (0 out, 0 doubtful) vs Flames (1 out, 0 doubtful)
- Rest Days favored the Flames and was a contributing factor: Flames rest advantage (2 days rest) over Kraken (4 days rest)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Kraken have 1 player(s) ruled out, while the Flames have 1.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Kraken won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Seattle Kraken
- InjuriesFavors Seattle Kraken
- Rest DaysFavors Calgary Flames
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Kraken has a 61% win probability, while Flames has a 39% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA.

