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Calgary Flames at Seattle Kraken

NHLpreseason • 2027-2028 Season
completed
Kraken logo
Kraken
Seattle
4
vs
Flames logo
Flames
Calgary
3
SEA 61%39% CGY
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Seattle Kraken 61% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Kraken:

  • Home Field Advantage. Kraken are 1-0 at home this season
  • Injuries. Kraken healthier (0 out, 0 doubtful) vs Flames (1 out, 0 doubtful)

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VenueClimate Pledge Arena
Seattle, WA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Flames (away)
Kraken (home)
39%
Win probability
61%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Kraken defeated the Flames 4-3.

Our model predicted the Kraken would win with 61% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Kraken and was a notable factor: Kraken are 1-0 at home this season
  • Injuries favored the Kraken and was a contributing factor: Kraken healthier (0 out, 0 doubtful) vs Flames (1 out, 0 doubtful)
  • Rest Days favored the Flames and was a contributing factor: Flames rest advantage (2 days rest) over Kraken (4 days rest)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Kraken have 1 player(s) ruled out, while the Flames have 1.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Kraken won 4-3

Kraken won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Kraken at 61%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Seattle Kraken
  • InjuriesFavors Seattle Kraken
  • Rest DaysFavors Calgary Flames
  • ELO RatingNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CGY
SEA
Home Field Advantage
Injuries
Rest Days
ELO Rating
Favours CGY|Favours SEA

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 9/25/2026, 1:30:04 AM

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Kraken has a 61% win probability, while Flames has a 39% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA.

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