Calgary Flames at Edmonton Oilers
Edmonton Oilers 69% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Oilers:
- Recent Form. Oilers (5-0) in better form than Flames (1-5)
- Home Field Advantage. Oilers are 3-1 at home this season; Flames are 1-4 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- ELO Rating. Oilers ELO 1553 vs Flames ELO 1434 (diff: +119)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Flames at Oilers
The Flames visit the Oilers at Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.
Our model gives the Oilers a 69% chance of winning, giving them a clear but not overwhelming advantage. The Flames will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Recent Form favors the Oilers (medium): Oilers (5-0) in better form than Flames (1-5)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Oilers (medium): Oilers are 3-1 at home this season; Flames are 1-4 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- ELO Rating favors the Oilers (low): Oilers ELO 1553 vs Flames ELO 1434 (diff: +119)
is strongly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Recent FormFavors Edmonton Oilers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Edmonton Oilers
- ELO RatingFavors Edmonton Oilers
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Flames
Oilers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Oilers has a 69% win probability, while Flames has a 31% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB.