Columbus Blue Jackets at Detroit Red Wings
Detroit Red Wings 57% to win. The biggest signal favoring Red Wings:
- Home Field Advantage. Red Wings are 1-0 at home this season; Blue Jackets are 0-1 on the road
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Blue Jackets defeated the Red Wings 4-2.
Our model predicted the Red Wings would win with 57% confidence, but the Blue Jackets pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Red Wings and was a major factor: Red Wings are 1-0 at home this season; Blue Jackets are 0-1 on the road
- Injuries favored the Blue Jackets and was a notable factor: Blue Jackets healthier (1 out, 0 doubtful) vs Red Wings (3 out, 0 doubtful)
- ELO Rating was neutral and a contributing factor: Red Wings ELO 1492 vs Blue Jackets ELO 1496 (diff: -4)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Red Wings have 3 player(s) ruled out, while the Blue Jackets have 1.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Blue Jackets won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Detroit Red Wings
- InjuriesFavors Columbus Blue Jackets
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
Home Field Advantage
Red Wings are 1-0 at home this season; Blue Jackets are 0-1 on the road
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Red Wings has a 57% win probability, while Blue Jackets has a 43% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI.