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Carolina Hurricanes at Montreal Canadiens

NHLregular • 2027-2028 Season
Scheduled
Canadiens logo
Canadiens
Montreal
0
vs
Hurricanes logo
Hurricanes
Carolina
0
MTL 48%52% CAR
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Carolina Hurricanes 52% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Hurricanes:

  • Injuries. Hurricanes healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Canadiens 4 out, 0 doubtful
  • ELO Rating. Canadiens ELO 1536 vs Hurricanes ELO 1573 (diff: -37)

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VenueBell Centre
Montreal, QC

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Hurricanes (away)
Canadiens (home)
52%
Win probability
48%
1
High-impact factors
0
2
Players ruled out
3

Game Preview

Hurricanes at Canadiens

The Hurricanes visit the Canadiens at Bell Centre in Montreal, QC in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.

Our model gives the Hurricanes a 52% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. The Canadiens will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Injuries favors the Hurricanes (high): Hurricanes healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Canadiens 4 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage favors the Canadiens (medium): Canadiens are 3-0 at home this season; Hurricanes are 2-1 on the road
  • Recent Form favors the Canadiens (low): Canadiens (1-0) in better form than Hurricanes (1-1)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Canadiens have 3 player(s) ruled out, while the Hurricanes have 2.
Hurricanes52%

has a slight edge to win

Key Factor
Injuries
Favors CAR

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Carolina Hurricanes
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Montreal Canadiens
  • Recent FormFavors Montreal Canadiens
  • ELO RatingFavors Carolina Hurricanes
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CAR
MTL
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
ELO Rating
Favours CAR|Favours MTL

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Canadiens

Our Model48%

Hurricanes

Our Model52%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Injuries

Hurricanes healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Canadiens 4 out, 0 doubtful

Hurricanes
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/4/2026, 8:50:01 AM

Canadiens

Oliver KapanenC(Lower Body)
QUESTIONABLE
Bryce PickfordD(Undisclosed)
OUT
Kaiden GuhleD(Groin)
OUT
Alexandre CarrierD(Undisclosed)
QUESTIONABLE
Lucas CondottaLW(Undisclosed)
OUT

Hurricanes

Seth JarvisC(Shoulder)
OUT
Alexander NikishinD(Contract Dispute)
OUT

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Guide

NHL Win Probability

How we calculate NHL game outcome probabilities

4 min readRead article

Frequently Asked Questions

Canadiens has a 48% win probability, while Hurricanes has a 52% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Bell Centre in Montreal, QC.

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