Buffalo Sabres at Detroit Red Wings
Detroit Red Wings 60% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Red Wings:
- Home Field Advantage. First home game of the season for Red Wings; Sabres are 0-1 on the road
- Injuries. Red Wings healthier (2 out, 0 doubtful) vs Sabres (3 out, 0 doubtful)
Make Your Prediction
View leaderboard to see rankings
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Red Wings defeated the Sabres 3-2.
Our model predicted the Red Wings would win with 60% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Red Wings and was a notable factor: First home game of the season for Red Wings; Sabres are 0-1 on the road
- Injuries favored the Red Wings and was a contributing factor: Red Wings healthier (2 out, 0 doubtful) vs Sabres (3 out, 0 doubtful)
- ELO Rating favored the Sabres and was a contributing factor: Red Wings ELO 1488 vs Sabres ELO 1523 (diff: -35)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Red Wings have 2 player(s) ruled out, while the Sabres have 3.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Red Wings won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Detroit Red Wings
- InjuriesFavors Detroit Red Wings
- ELO RatingFavors Buffalo Sabres
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Red Wings has a 60% win probability, while Sabres has a 40% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI.