Boston Bruins at Minnesota Wild
Minnesota Wild 54% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Wild:
- Home Field Advantage. Wild are 1-1 at home this season; Bruins are 1-2 on the road
- Rest Days. Wild rest advantage (2 days rest) over Bruins (1 day rest)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Wild defeated the Bruins 4-1.
Our model predicted the Wild would win with 54% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Wild and was a notable factor: Wild are 1-1 at home this season; Bruins are 1-2 on the road
- Injuries favored the Bruins and was a contributing factor: Bruins less affected by injuries: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Wild 2 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Wild players matter more
- Rest Days favored the Wild and was a contributing factor: Wild rest advantage (2 days rest) over Bruins (1 day rest)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Wild have 2 player(s) ruled out, while the Bruins have 2.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Wild won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Minnesota Wild
- InjuriesFavors Boston Bruins
- Rest DaysFavors Minnesota Wild
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds
Wild
Bruins
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Injury Report
Wild
Bruins
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Wild has a 54% win probability, while Bruins has a 46% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Grand Casino Arena in Saint Paul, MN.