Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames
Calgary Flames 54% to win. The biggest signal favoring Flames:
- Home Field Advantage. Flames are 3-4 at home this season; Ducks are 3-5 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Ducks at Flames
The Ducks visit the Flames at Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, AB in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.
Our model gives the Flames a 54% chance of winning, making this an extremely close matchup. The Ducks will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Home Field Advantage favors the Flames (low): Flames are 3-4 at home this season; Ducks are 3-5 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Recent Form favors the Ducks (low): Ducks (4-6) in better form than Flames (3-6)
- ELO Rating is neutral: Flames ELO 1439 vs Ducks ELO 1452 (diff: -12)
has a slight edge to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Calgary Flames
- Recent FormFavors Anaheim Ducks
- ELO RatingNeutral
- InjuriesNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Ducks
Flames
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Flames has a 54% win probability, while Ducks has a 46% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, AB.