Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Browns defeated the Bengals 20-18.
Our model predicted the Bengals would win with 53% confidence, but the Browns pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Bengals and was a notable factor: Cincinnati Bengals are 5-5 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Recent Form favored the Browns and was a contributing factor: Cleveland Browns (10-8) in better form than Cincinnati Bengals (8-10)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Browns and was a contributing factor: Cleveland Browns offense (5.2 YPP) outpaces Cincinnati Bengals (5.0 YPP)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Browns won in a close game
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Bengals has a 53% win probability, while Browns has a 47% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, OH.