Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Bengals defeated the Steelers 19-17.
Our model predicted the Bengals would win with 59% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Bengals and was a contributing factor: Cincinnati Bengals defense (4.7 YPP allowed) is stronger than Pittsburgh Steelers (5.2 YPP allowed)
- Turnover Differential favored the Bengals and was a notable factor: Pittsburgh Steelers turnover differential (-2) vs Cincinnati Bengals (+10)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Bengals and was a contributing factor: Cincinnati Bengals offense (5.2 YPP) outpaces Pittsburgh Steelers (4.9 YPP)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Bengals won in a close game
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Steelers has a 41% win probability, while Bengals has a 59% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA.