Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Steelers defeated the Ravens 26-24.
Our model predicted the Steelers would win with 50% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Steelers and was a contributing factor: Pittsburgh Steelers defense (4.6 YPP allowed) is stronger than Baltimore Ravens (5.1 YPP allowed)
- Recent Form favored the Ravens and was a contributing factor: Baltimore Ravens (10-8) in better form than Pittsburgh Steelers (6-12)
- Turnover Differential favored the Ravens and was a contributing factor: Pittsburgh Steelers turnover differential (-9) vs Baltimore Ravens (+0)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Steelers won in a close game
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
NFL Win Probability
How we calculate NFL game outcome probabilities using advanced metrics
Home Field Advantage
How playing at home affects NFL win probability
NFL Weather Impact
How weather conditions influence NFL games and predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Steelers has a 50% win probability, while Ravens has a 50% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA.