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Washington Wizards at Charlotte Hornets

NBAregular • 2027-2028 Season
Scheduled
Hornets logo
Hornets
Charlotte
0
vs
Wizards logo
Wizards
Washington
0
CHA 43%57% WSH
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Washington Wizards 57% to win. The biggest signal favoring Wizards:

  • Offensive Efficiency. Wizards offense (112.5 PPG) outpaces Hornets (97.5 PPG)

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VenueSpectrum Center
Charlotte, NC

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Wizards (away)
Hornets (home)
57%
Win probability
43%
1
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Game Preview

Wizards at Hornets

The Wizards visit the Hornets at Spectrum Center in Charlotte, NC in 2027-2028 NBA regular play.

Our model gives the Wizards a 57% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. The Hornets will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Offensive Efficiency favors the Wizards (high): Wizards offense (112.5 PPG) outpaces Hornets (97.5 PPG)
  • ELO Rating favors the Hornets (medium): Hornets ELO 1542 vs Wizards ELO 1403 (diff: +138)
  • Defensive Efficiency favors the Hornets (low): Hornets defense (107.0 Opp PPG) better than Wizards (108.5 Opp PPG)
Wizards57%

is favored to win

Key Factor
Offensive Efficiency
Favors WSH

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Offensive EfficiencyFavors Washington Wizards
  • ELO RatingFavors Charlotte Hornets
  • Defensive EfficiencyFavors Charlotte Hornets
  • Home Field AdvantageNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • InjuriesNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

WSH
CHA
Offensive Efficiency
ELO Rating
Defensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
Favours WSH|Favours CHA

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Offensive Efficiency

Wizards offense (112.5 PPG) outpaces Hornets (97.5 PPG)

Wizards

Defensive Efficiency

Hornets defense (107.0 Opp PPG) better than Wizards (108.5 Opp PPG)

Hornets

Turnover Differential

Hornets turnover differential (+0) vs Wizards (+0)

Neutral

2 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/12/2026, 8:30:03 AM

Key Players

Wizards

Alondes WilliamsG
Tre MannG
Trevor KeelsG
Bub CarringtonG
Bilal CoulibalyG

Hornets

Sion JamesG
Dennis SchroderG
Christian AndersonG
Jarkel JoinerG
Grayson AllenG

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Guide

NBA Win Probability

How we calculate NBA game outcome probabilities

4 min readRead article
Deep Dive

Back-to-Back Fatigue

How schedule and rest affect NBA game outcomes

3 min readRead article

Frequently Asked Questions

Hornets has a 43% win probability, while Wizards has a 57% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Spectrum Center in Charlotte, NC.

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