Toronto Raptors at New Orleans Pelicans
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Pelicans defeated the Raptors 122-111.
Our model predicted the Raptors would win with 64% confidence, but the Pelicans pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Raptors and was a major factor: Raptors defense (111.7 Opp PPG) better than Pelicans (120.2 Opp PPG)
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Pelicans and was a notable factor: Pelicans offense (115.5 PPG) outpaces Raptors (113.7 PPG)
- Recent Form favored the Raptors and was a contributing factor: Raptors (36-27) in better form than Pelicans (21-45)
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Pelicans won comfortably
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Defensive Efficiency
Raptors defense (111.7 Opp PPG) better than Pelicans (120.2 Opp PPG)
Offensive Efficiency
Pelicans offense (115.5 PPG) outpaces Raptors (113.7 PPG)
Recent Form
Raptors (36-27) in better form than Pelicans (21-45)
Turnover Differential
Pelicans turnover differential (+0) vs Raptors (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Raptors
Pelicans
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Pelicans has a 36% win probability, while Raptors has a 64% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, LA.