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Phoenix Suns at Charlotte Hornets

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Hornets logo
Hornets
Charlotte
127
vs
Suns logo
Suns
Phoenix
107
CHA 66%34% PHX
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

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VenueSpectrum Center
Charlotte, NC

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Suns (away)
Hornets (home)
34%
Win probability
66%
0
High-impact factors
1
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Hornets defeated the Suns 127-107.

Our model predicted the Hornets would win with 66% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Offensive Efficiency favored the Hornets and was a major factor: Hornets offense (116.0 PPG) outpaces Suns (112.2 PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Hornets and was a notable factor: Hornets are 0-0 at home this season
  • Defensive Efficiency favored the Suns and was a contributing factor: Suns defense (111.2 Opp PPG) better than Hornets (112.1 Opp PPG)

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Hornets won 127-107

Hornets won convincingly

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Hornets at 66%

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

PHX
CHA
Offensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
Defensive Efficiency
Rest Days
Recent Form
Favours PHX|Favours CHA

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Hornets

Our Model66%

Suns

Our Model34%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Offensive Efficiency

Hornets offense (116.0 PPG) outpaces Suns (112.2 PPG)

Hornets

Defensive Efficiency

Suns defense (111.2 Opp PPG) better than Hornets (112.1 Opp PPG)

Suns

Recent Form

Similar form: Hornets (37-34) vs Suns (39-32)

Neutral

Turnover Differential

Hornets turnover differential (+0) vs Suns (+0)

Neutral
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 4/2/2026, 8:30:01 AM

Key Players

Suns

Grayson AllenG
Devin BookerG
Jamaree BouyeaG
Koby BreaG
Amir CoffeyG

Hornets

Antonio ReevesG
Pat ConnaughtonG
Josh GreenG
Sion JamesG
Kon KnueppelG

Frequently Asked Questions

Hornets has a 66% win probability, while Suns has a 34% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Spectrum Center in Charlotte, NC.

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