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Philadelphia 76ers at New York Knicks

NBAregular • 2027-2028 Season
Scheduled
Knicks logo
Knicks
New York
0
vs
76ers logo
76ers
Philadelphia
0
NYK 23%77% PHI
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Philadelphia 76ers 77% to win. The top 2 signals favoring 76ers:

  • Offensive Efficiency. 76ers offense (120.0 PPG) outpaces Knicks (97.0 PPG)
  • Defensive Efficiency. 76ers defense (97.0 Opp PPG) better than Knicks (120.0 Opp PPG)

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VenueMadison Square Garden
New York, NY

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

76ers (away)
Knicks (home)
77%
Win probability
23%
2
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Game Preview

76ers at Knicks

The 76ers visit the Knicks at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY in 2027-2028 NBA regular play.

Our model gives the 76ers a 77% chance of winning, signaling a strong lean in this matchup. The Knicks will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Offensive Efficiency favors the 76ers (high): 76ers offense (120.0 PPG) outpaces Knicks (97.0 PPG)
  • Defensive Efficiency favors the 76ers (high): 76ers defense (97.0 Opp PPG) better than Knicks (120.0 Opp PPG)
  • ELO Rating favors the Knicks (medium): Knicks ELO 1682 vs 76ers ELO 1551 (diff: +131)
76ers77%

is strongly favored to win

Key Factor
Offensive Efficiency
Favors PHI

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Offensive EfficiencyFavors Philadelphia 76ers
  • Defensive EfficiencyFavors Philadelphia 76ers
  • ELO RatingFavors New York Knicks
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Knicks
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

PHI
NYK
Offensive Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
ELO Rating
Home Field Advantage
Favours PHI|Favours NYK

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

Knicks

Our Model23%

76ers

Our Model77%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Offensive Efficiency

76ers offense (120.0 PPG) outpaces Knicks (97.0 PPG)

76ers

Defensive Efficiency

76ers defense (97.0 Opp PPG) better than Knicks (120.0 Opp PPG)

76ers

Turnover Differential

Knicks turnover differential (+0) vs 76ers (+0)

Neutral

2 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/8/2026, 8:30:04 AM

Key Players

76ers

Caleb LoveG
Anfernee SimonsG
VJ EdgecombeG
Tyrese MaxeyG
Jaylen BrownG

Knicks

Jaden AkinsG
Mikal BridgesG
Jalen BrunsonG
Jordan ClarksonG
Josh HartG

Frequently Asked Questions

Knicks has a 23% win probability, while 76ers has a 77% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY.

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