Philadelphia 76ers at Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers 81% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Pacers:
- Offensive Efficiency. Pacers offense (117.3 PPG) outpaces 76ers (111.3 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency. Pacers defense (115.0 Opp PPG) better than 76ers (118.3 Opp PPG)
- Home Field Advantage. Pacers are 1-1 at home this season; 76ers are 0-2 on the road
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
76ers at Pacers
The 76ers visit the Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN in 2027-2028 NBA regular play.
Our model gives the Pacers a 81% chance of winning, signaling a strong lean in this matchup. The 76ers will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Offensive Efficiency favors the Pacers (high): Pacers offense (117.3 PPG) outpaces 76ers (111.3 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favors the Pacers (medium): Pacers defense (115.0 Opp PPG) better than 76ers (118.3 Opp PPG)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Pacers (medium): Pacers are 1-1 at home this season; 76ers are 0-2 on the road
is strongly favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Indiana Pacers
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Indiana Pacers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Indiana Pacers
- ELO RatingFavors Philadelphia 76ers
- InjuriesNeutral
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Pacers offense (117.3 PPG) outpaces 76ers (111.3 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Pacers defense (115.0 Opp PPG) better than 76ers (118.3 Opp PPG)
Turnover Differential
Pacers turnover differential (+0) vs 76ers (+0)
1 factor
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
76ers
Pacers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Pacers has a 81% win probability, while 76ers has a 19% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN.