PlayDecoded
Menu

Orlando Magic at Memphis Grizzlies

NBApreseason • 2027-2028 Season
Scheduled
Grizzlies logo
Grizzlies
Memphis
0
vs
Magic logo
Magic
Orlando
0
MEM 59%41% ORL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Memphis Grizzlies 59% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Grizzlies:

  • Injuries. Grizzlies healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Magic 1 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage. Standard home-field edge for Grizzlies (no home or road games yet this season)

Make Your Prediction

Sign in to make predictions

View leaderboard to see rankings

VenueFedExForum
Memphis, TN

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Magic (away)
Grizzlies (home)
41%
Win probability
59%
0
High-impact factors
1
1
Players ruled out
0

Game Preview

Magic at Grizzlies

The Magic visit the Grizzlies at FedExForum in Memphis, TN in 2027-2028 NBA preseason play.

Our model gives the Grizzlies a 59% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. The Magic will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Injuries favors the Grizzlies (high): Grizzlies healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Magic 1 out, 0 doubtful
  • ELO Rating favors the Magic (medium): Grizzlies ELO 1327 vs Magic ELO 1537 (diff: -209); both ratings carried over from last season
  • Home Field Advantage favors the Grizzlies (medium): Standard home-field edge for Grizzlies (no home or road games yet this season)
  • The Magic are without 1 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
Grizzlies59%

is favored to win

Key Factor
Injuries
Favors MEM

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Memphis Grizzlies
  • ELO RatingFavors Orlando Magic
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Memphis Grizzlies
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
Sign in to see factor scores, charts, and what-if simulations

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

ORL
MEM
Injuries
ELO Rating
Home Field Advantage
Favours ORL|Favours MEM

Premium feature: factor breakdown

Start 14-day free trial →

Understanding the win probability calculation

Injuries

Grizzlies healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Magic 1 out, 0 doubtful

Grizzlies

2 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/4/2026, 8:30:01 AM

Grizzlies

No injuries reported

Magic

Izaiyah NelsonF(Ankle)
OUT
Noah PendaF(Hamstring)
QUESTIONABLE
Jonathan IsaacF(Knee)
QUESTIONABLE
Anthony BlackG(Ankle)
QUESTIONABLE

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Guide

NBA Win Probability

How we calculate NBA game outcome probabilities

4 min readRead article
Deep Dive

Back-to-Back Fatigue

How schedule and rest affect NBA game outcomes

3 min readRead article

Frequently Asked Questions

Grizzlies has a 59% win probability, while Magic has a 41% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at FedExForum in Memphis, TN.

View all NBA games