Orlando Magic at Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies 58% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Grizzlies:
- Offensive Efficiency. Grizzlies offense (132.0 PPG) outpaces Magic (0.0 PPG)
- Injuries. Grizzlies healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Magic 1 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage. Standard home-field edge for Grizzlies (no home or road games yet this season)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Magic defeated the Grizzlies 122-118.
Our model predicted the Grizzlies would win with 58% confidence, but the Magic pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Offensive Efficiency favored the Grizzlies and was a major factor: Grizzlies offense (132.0 PPG) outpaces Magic (0.0 PPG)
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Magic and was a major factor: Magic defense (0.0 Opp PPG) better than Grizzlies (123.0 Opp PPG)
- Injuries favored the Grizzlies and was a major factor: Grizzlies healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Magic 1 out, 0 doubtful
- The Magic are without 1 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Magic won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Memphis Grizzlies
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Orlando Magic
- InjuriesFavors Memphis Grizzlies
- ELO RatingFavors Orlando Magic
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Memphis Grizzlies
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
Offensive Efficiency
Grizzlies offense (132.0 PPG) outpaces Magic (0.0 PPG)
Defensive Efficiency
Magic defense (0.0 Opp PPG) better than Grizzlies (123.0 Opp PPG)
Turnover Differential
Grizzlies turnover differential (+0) vs Magic (+0)
Injuries
Grizzlies healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Magic 1 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Magic
Grizzlies
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Grizzlies has a 58% win probability, while Magic has a 42% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at FedExForum in Memphis, TN.