PlayDecoded
Menu

New York Knicks at Philadelphia 76ers

NBAregular • 2027-2028 Season
Scheduled
76ers logo
76ers
Philadelphia
0
vs
Knicks logo
Knicks
New York
0
PHI 85%15% NYK
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Philadelphia 76ers 85% to win. The top 3 signals favoring 76ers:

  • Defensive Efficiency. 76ers defense (118.3 Opp PPG) better than Knicks (124.2 Opp PPG)
  • Offensive Efficiency. 76ers offense (111.3 PPG) outpaces Knicks (106.0 PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage. 76ers are 1-0 at home this season; Knicks are 0-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)

Make Your Prediction

Sign in to make predictions

View leaderboard to see rankings

VenueXfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia, PA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Knicks (away)
76ers (home)
15%
Win probability
85%
0
High-impact factors
3
0
Players ruled out
0

Game Preview

Knicks at 76ers

The Knicks visit the 76ers at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA in 2027-2028 NBA regular play.

Our model gives the 76ers a 85% chance of winning, signaling a strong lean in this matchup. The Knicks will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Defensive Efficiency favors the 76ers (high): 76ers defense (118.3 Opp PPG) better than Knicks (124.2 Opp PPG)
  • Offensive Efficiency favors the 76ers (high): 76ers offense (111.3 PPG) outpaces Knicks (106.0 PPG)
  • Home Field Advantage favors the 76ers (high): 76ers are 1-0 at home this season; Knicks are 0-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
76ers85%

is strongly favored to win

Key Factor
Defensive Efficiency
Favors PHI

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Defensive EfficiencyFavors Philadelphia 76ers
  • Offensive EfficiencyFavors Philadelphia 76ers
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia 76ers
  • ELO RatingFavors New York Knicks
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
Sign in to see factor scores, charts, and what-if simulations

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

NYK
PHI
Defensive Efficiency
Offensive Efficiency
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Favours NYK|Favours PHI

Premium feature: factor breakdown

Start 14-day free trial →

Model vs. Market

Comparing our probability model against Vegas odds

76ers

Our Model85%

Knicks

Our Model15%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Defensive Efficiency

76ers defense (118.3 Opp PPG) better than Knicks (124.2 Opp PPG)

76ers

Offensive Efficiency

76ers offense (111.3 PPG) outpaces Knicks (106.0 PPG)

76ers

Turnover Differential

76ers turnover differential (+0) vs Knicks (+0)

Neutral

Home Field Advantage

76ers are 1-0 at home this season; Knicks are 0-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)

76ers

2 factors not shown (insufficient data)

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/16/2026, 8:30:07 AM

Key Players

Knicks

Jaden AkinsG
Mikal BridgesG
Jalen BrunsonG
Jordan ClarksonG
Josh HartG

76ers

Caleb LoveG
Anfernee SimonsG
VJ EdgecombeG
Tyrese MaxeyG
Jaylen BrownG

Frequently Asked Questions

76ers has a 85% win probability, while Knicks has a 15% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA.

View all NBA games